Article · The market
Florida's 2026 market in plain English.
Homes are sitting longer, more sellers are cutting prices, and it costs more than ever to simply hold a property. Here's what the 2026 data actually means if you're deciding whether to sell, hold, or build.
If you own a Florida property and you've been weighing your options, the headlines are noisy and contradictory. So let's skip the noise and read the data the way it actually affects your decision — slowly, with sources, and honestly about what it does and doesn't tell you.
The short version: the market has cooled from its frenzy, it's taking longer to sell, more sellers are discounting, and the cost of holding a property is high. None of that means the sky is falling — but it does change the math on "just wait it out."
Homes are taking longer to sell
The clearest signal in the 2026 data is time. Florida's statewide median days on market was ~75 days in May 2026, up from ~67 in May 2024, and the series ran as high as ~88 days in September 2025 [Verified. Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed), Realtor.com data.]. Nationally, the median was 52 days in May 2026 — so Florida homes are sitting meaningfully longer than the country as a whole [Verified. Source: Realtor.com May 2026 Monthly Housing Report.].
In the Orlando / Central Florida metro, days on market peaked near a ~10-year high (~81 days) in January 2026 before easing into spring [Estimate — confirm exact monthly figure before citing verbatim. Source: Orlando Regional REALTOR Association.]. The point isn't a single number — it's the direction. Homes that would have moved in a few weeks two years ago now take two-and-a-half months or more, and every one of those days is a day you keep paying to own the property.
More sellers are cutting prices
When homes sit, sellers discount. Nationally, 17.5% of active listings had a price cut in May 2026 — and notably, that figure was actually down 1.6 points year-over-year, because more sellers are pricing realistically up front instead of starting high and chasing the market down [Verified. Source: Realtor.com May 2026 Monthly Housing Report.].
Regionally, the discounting is heavier: in South Florida, more than 20% of listings had a price reduction in April 2026, with a median local cut around 3.1% versus ~2.7% nationally [Estimate — regional; confirm the 3.1% before citing verbatim. Source: Realtor.com data via NBC6 Miami.]. The honest read here matters: this isn't "everyone is slashing prices." It's that overpricing and then chasing the market down with repeated cuts is the failure mode — and a stale listing trains buyers to wait you out.
It costs more than ever to simply hold
The other half of the equation is what you pay while you wait. Florida's carrying costs are among the steepest in the country, driven mostly by insurance.
- Florida homeowners insurance is among the most expensive in the U.S. A standardized $300,000-dwelling policy averages ~$5,838/yr in Florida vs. ~$2,424 nationally — roughly 2.4× the national average. [Verified. Sources: Bankrate; Florida OIR via JMCO.]
- Florida's effective property tax rate is ~0.78% of home value — actually below the national average, but still a recurring annual cost on a property that isn't earning anything. [Verified. Source: Tax Foundation.]
- Total annual carrying cost is commonly pegged at ~1%–4% of property value per year (taxes + maintenance + insurance + utilities). This is a widely repeated budgeting heuristic, not a measured statistic. [Estimate — rule of thumb. Sources: Redfin; State Farm.]
- And if the home sits empty while it waits, it gets worse: a vacant/unsold home typically costs 50%–60% more to insure than an occupied one, because standard policies limit coverage once a home is empty. [Estimate — industry, not government. Sources: Insurify; NerdWallet.]
Put plainly: the longer a Florida property sits unsold, the more it quietly costs you — and the insurance line item alone makes that more painful here than almost anywhere else.
Mortgage rates are still in the mid-6s
For anyone carrying a loan — and for any buyer trying to qualify for one — rates remain a headwind. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was in the mid-6% range (~6.48%, week of June 4, 2026) [Verified. Source: Freddie Mac PMMS.]. That keeps a lid on what buyers can pay, which is part of why homes sit longer and sellers discount. It's also the carrying cost of any loan still on your own property — often the largest silent line item of all.
One thing that got more durable: Opportunity Zones
Not all the 2026 news is about cost and delay. The federal Opportunity Zone program — a tax-incentive program for investing eligible capital gains in designated communities through a Qualified Opportunity Fund — was made permanent by the 2025 tax law (OBBBA, signed July 4, 2025), moving to a rolling 5-year deferral with a 10% basis step-up and a redesignation cycle for new zones effective January 1, 2027 [Verified. Sources: Economic Innovation Group; IRS guidance.].
Florida has 427 designated Opportunity Zones under the current map, with additional zones expected in the 2026 redesignation [Verified. Source: count corroborated via The Center Square.]. That permanence matters for owners whose property sits in one of those zones, because it removes the "is this program going away?" uncertainty that used to hang over it. But the benefits depend entirely on your individual capital-gains and tax situation and carry strict timing and fund-qualification rules — this is not tax advice, and you should consult a qualified tax professional and counsel before relying on any Opportunity Zone benefit.
So what does all this mean for you?
Stack it up and a pattern emerges. In a slower, higher-cost market, the two traditional options both get more expensive:
- Sitting on the property costs more — longer days on market, plus Florida's steep insurance and carrying costs accruing every month it doesn't sell.
- Selling is weaker — more listings cutting price, buyers constrained by mid-6% rates, and the real risk of negotiating from a "must-sell" position into a lowball offer.
That's precisely the environment in which a third option deserves a look: instead of carrying a static asset or discounting it to get out, you can contribute the property as equity into a project built on it. A developer funds, permits, builds, and sells the project; once it's contributed and development begins, you're no longer personally carrying the taxes, insurance, maintenance, utilities, and dues — and the value path is tied to building something rather than to outlasting a soft listing.
To be balanced about it: this is not a one-way bet, and markets can move either way. Development carries real project risk — it takes time, it's illiquid while underway, costs can run over, and there is risk of loss. A cooler market that makes holding expensive can also make building harder. We protect the property side hard — you contribute no cash, sign no personal guarantee, your capital sits in a priority position with a preferred-return floor (a priority, not a guarantee), and the developer is paid last and personally guarantees the construction loan — but no one can promise an outcome, and we won't pretend otherwise.
The data won't make the decision for you. What it can do is reframe the question. In a market like 2026's, "just wait" isn't free, and "just sell" isn't always strong. Knowing your own carrying number, and weighing all three honest options — sell as-is, keep holding, or put the property to work as equity — is the clear-eyed way to decide.
Important
This article is educational and for informational purposes only. It is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, and it is not legal, tax, or investment advice. Cited figures are third-party data as of the dates noted and move over time; rule-of-thumb ranges are labeled estimates, and any example is illustrative — not a projection or guarantee of any result.
Any partnership is project-specific and made only through definitive documents, which contain material risk factors and supersede this material in full. Investments of this type are speculative, illiquid, and involve risk of loss. Consult your own legal, tax, and financial advisors.